6. TKDA Memo-Metro Council Demographic Forecasts for 2040 �•
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TKDA
Memorandum
To: Kristina Handt, Scandia City Reference: Metro Council Demographic
Administrator Forecasts for 2040
Copies To:
Project No.: 15254.000
From: Sherri Buss, RLA AICP, Routing:
Planner
Date: September 24, 2013
The Metropolitan Council staff announced at the Midwest Planning Conference last week that
they have published the forecast numbers for population, households and employment for the
year 2040 for each of the communities in the Metro Area.
This is one of the first steps in the Comprehensive Plan update cycle. Cities need to use the
Metro Council forecast numbers in their plans, or provide an analysis of why they believe the
Council's forecasts are not accurate, and convince the Council to accept a different number.
The Scandia forecast numbers for 2040 are as follows:
Population 4,900
Households 2,240
Employment 780
10 vears aqo, the Council forecast the followinq numbers for Scandia for 2030:
Population 5,400
Households 2,100
Employment 610
The Council staff indicated that they have reduced the population forecast for most communities
outside the Center Cities and first ring suburbs from the 2030 forecast for the 2040 forecast.
They believe that population growth outside the central communities has slowed during the
recession, and that this trend will continue. They also believe that the trend to smaller
households will continue.
Council staff mentioned that their system plan for the Regional Wastewater System will include
less on outward expansion of the system and more emphasis on redevelopment and making
maximum use of the existing system within developed areas of the region.
An employee owned company promoting affirmative action and equal opportunity
Metro Council Forecasts Page 2 September 24, 2013
The System Plans for the regional systems should be complete by 2014, and the System
Statements for each community should be out in 2015.
Feel free to share the numbers with the Planning Commission, Council and EDA.
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Page 1 of 1
WHERE WILL THE GROWTH GO?
Ten years ago,the Met Council foresaw household growth
being concentrated in developing suburbs.Now it forecasts a
decided shift toward the core of the metro area.
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